The Herman Trend Alert
March 23, 2022
What Global Terrorism Means for Employers Worldwide
Often, I write about bad news. However, happily, this week is an exception, because despite an increase in attacks, the impact of global terrorism continues to decline. (Please make sure to read to the end for the commentary for employers)
Good News Details
Every year, Australia's Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) issues its annual global terrorism index (GTI). Their 2022 GTI reveals that in 2021, deaths from terrorism fell by 1.2 percent to 7,142, while attacks rose by 17 percent; somehow terrorism is becoming less lethal. During the same period, 2/3 of countries recorded no attacks or deaths from terrorism while 86 countries recorded an improvement over last year's GTI score. One fascinating statistic is the number of deaths has remained consistent over the last four years. However, the GTI does emphasize that terrorism remains a serious threat in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Why The Decline and a Warning
The Institute believes that the decline was partly due to the COVID-19 pandemic and warned that the removal of infection-related restrictions could coincide with a rise in terrorist attacks. That makes sense to me. However, I think there is an additional factor that is not going away. Law enforcement, particularly in the West, is getting better at detecting and stopping these attacks.
Some Interesting Statistics
In 2021 the number of global terrorist attacks increased to 5,226. Terrorism has become more concentrated, with 119 countries recording no deaths, the best result since 2007. In Sub-Saharan Africa, terrorism accounted for 48 percent of total global deaths from terrorism. The world's fastest growing terrorist organization, Jamaat Nusrat Al-Islam wal Muslimeen, was responsible for 351 deaths in 2021. The worst attack of 2021 occurred when an IS suicide bomber detonated two bombs at Afghanistan's Kabul International Airport.
Terrorism Has Become More Concentrated
Supported by weak governments and political instability, terrorism is now more centered in conflict zones. Blessedly, 119 countries (73 percent) recorded no deaths, the best result since 2007.
We Must Not Overlook Ukraine
Ukraine is likely to see an increase in terrorism before the situation gets better. In the 2014 crisis, the country recorded only 69 terrorist attacks. This year, that number is already many more, as Russia levels Ukrainian cities in an effort to force a surrender. I also believe that the magnitude of the Russian attack is having an effect on workplaces throughout the world, as concerns grow for the fate of the Ukrainians under attack as well as the refugees lucky enough to escape the conflict.
The West is Not Immune
In Europe and the US, politically motivated terrorism has overtaken religiously motivated attacks and the surprisingly, the number of attacks declined by 82 percent---probably due in large part to COVID as well.
What Global Terrorism Means to Employers?
Sadly, terrorism is not going away any time soon. Young people, concerned for the welfare of those less fortunate will reward employers for caring. Employers will demonstrate this caring with overt and meaningful actions, like not supporting despots in any way and contributions to the wellbeing of refugees. Employers who ignore the state of the world's geopolitical situation do so at the risk of losing their favored status with Generations Y and Z. They may find themselves unable to recruit the young people they need. Forewarned is forearmed.
Special thanks to Steve Killelea, Founder & Executive Chairman, of the Institute for Economics & Peace for his timely report on global terrorism.
To download the entire report, visit https://click.mlsend.com/link/c/YT0xODk3NjU3ODk5NjAyMTU2MDg1JmM9aDh4OSZlPTAmYj05MzAzMjQxMjUmZD1tOGM2czB0.fvYxgcKrOx6fPDQcenghjapuGI_ntQT451sJp7GtOgM. The report provides a comprehensive summary of the key global trends and patterns in terrorism over the last 14 years and ranks 163 countries according to the impact of terrorism.
Next Week's Herman Trend Alert: Helping the World with Technology
Seeing the Ukrainian refugee crisis, two young Harvard students sprang into action to help. Get the full story in next week's Alert.
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